Preventable Crisis Gateway Gomez NRT3 2

Feb 2019

A Preventable Crisis

The Economic and Human Costs of a Hudson River Rail Tunnel Shutdown

This report looks at the impacts of a potential partial shutdown of the Hudson River rail tunnel. While a shutdown is not planned right now, the possibility is becoming increasingly likely.
1

How a Tunnel Shutdown Would Impact the Entire Transportation Network

2

Baseline Assumptions

3

Getting to Work

Diverted Commuters Sankey

How NJ Transit train commuters would be diverted in the event of a partial train shutdown

in thousands of commuters

4

Traveling in the Washington to Boston Corridor

5

Moving Freight

Value of truck freight

6

Impact on Health and Safety

Crashes by type over four years

Environmental and health impacts of additional driving and congestion

CO2Two million additional tons of CO2 emissions over four years
Equivalent to flying 2.6 million people from New York to San Francisco
NOxNearly eight premature fatalities over four years
~450 lost work days
~2,600 minor restricted work days
PM 2.5~Two premature fatalities over four years
~140 lost work days
~840 minor restricted work days
7

Impact on Homeowners and Local Government

Acknowledgements

Additional Support

Amtrak
New Jersey Transit
Fund for New Jersey
Port Authority of New York and New Jersey
Tony Shorris
John L. Weinberg Visiting Professor at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School

Produced With

ARUP
Stump/Hausman Partnership

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